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Defense Industry

Defense Industry

Defense Industry

Defense IndustryThe traditional defense industry provides products and services to the DoD. Products include aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems, while services can include logistics, technical, training, communications, and engineering support in cooperation with the government.

The DoW seeks to tap tech startups, small businesses, and other non-traditional defense contractors to rapidly exploit leading technologies to shape future defense solutions.

 

 

Defense Sectors

Air

Manned Combat Aircraft

Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | Boeing | General Dynamics | Textron/Bell

Rotary Wing Aircraft

Sikorsky (Lockheed Martin) | Bell Textron | Boeing | Leonardo DRS

Large Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)

General Atomics ASI | Northrop Grumman | Boeing | L3Harris | Sierra Nevada Corporation

Collaborative Combat Aircraft

Anduril Industries | General Atomics | Lockheed Martin | Boeing | Northrop Grumman | Shield AI | RTX (Collins Aerospace) | Skydio

Tactical & Attritable UAS - Group 3

Kratos | AeroVironment | Textron Systems | General Dynamics | Joby Aviation | Reliable Robotics | Skyryse | Atropos | SpekreWorks

Small UAS, Micro UAS & Loitering Munitions - Group 1 and 2

Skydio | AeroVironment | Anduril | Swarm Technologies | Brinc Drones | DarkHive | PDW | GridAero | Neros | Swan | Vector

Hypersonic and High-Speed Aircraft

Hermeus | Lockheed Martin Skunk Works | Northrop Grumman | Boom Supersonic | Stratolaunch | Venue Aerospace | Long Wall

Propulsion & Engines

GE Aerospace | Pratt & Whitney (RTX) | Parker Hannifin | Ursa Major | L3Harris / Aerojet Rocketdyne | X-Bow Systems | Anduril | Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems | Galodyne

Missiles, Strike Weapons and Air-Launched Munitions

RTX | Northrop Grumman | Lockheed Martin | Boeing | L3Harris / Aerojet Rocketdyne | Castelion | Perseus Defense | Firehawk Aerospace

Autonomy Software and AI

Shield AI | Skydio | Reliable Robotics | Palantir | Anduril | Applied Intuition | Scale AI

Avionics, Sensors, EW, and Mission Systems

RTX | L3Harris | Northrop Grumman | Elbit Systems of America | Leonardo DRS | Parker Hannifin

Maritime

Shipbuilding and Naval Construction

HII | General Dynamics NASSCO | General Dynamics Electric Boat | Fincantieri | Austal USA | VT Halter Marine | Metal Shark | BMT

Unmanned Surface Vessels (USVs)

Anduril | Leidos | Saronic | L3Harris | Textron | Saildrone | Sea Machines | Martac | ThayerMahan | Ocean Aero | Seasats | HavocAI | X-Ocean | Ocean Infinity | Saab | Frost Unmanned | ST Engineering | Maritime Robotics | VATN | Odin Dynamics

Maritime Autonomy Systems and Software

Sea Machines | Nauticus Robotics | Ghost Robotics | Avikus | Dynautics | Wartsila | Anschutz | Atlas Elektronik | Acua Ocean | RoboSys | Cellula Robotics | Navtor | Greenroom Robotics | Magnet Systems | OPT | RoBoat

Submarines

HII | General Dynamics Electric Boat

Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs)

L3Harris | Boeing | Leidos | General Dynamics | Anduril | HII | Kongsberg | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | Oceaneering | QinetiQ | Textron | Kraken Robotics | Tethys Robotics | Hydrotwin | ECA Group | Exail | RTSys | Boxfish Robotics | Blueye

Combat and Weapon Systems

RTX / Raytheon | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | BAE Systems | Leonardo DRS | Elbit Systems of America | Kongsberg

Sonar, Undersea Warfare and C2

Thales Defense and Security | Ultra Maritime | Serco | SAIC | Kraken Robotics | Teledyne Technologies | Atlas Elektronik

Mine Warfare and Undersea Systems

Northrop Grumman | General Dynamics Mission Systems | Teledyne Technologies | ECA Group | Exail | Kongsberg

Propulsion, Engineering and Subsystems

GE Vernova | Rolls-Royce North America | BWX Technologies | DRS Technologies | Wartsila | ABB Marine

Ocean Data, Intelligence and Analytics

Fugro | Teledyne Technologies | Leidos | Seasats | Sofar Ocean | Bedrock Ocean Exploration | North.io | Forcys | Terradepth | Mythos AI | OpenOcean | Dark Ocean

 

Ground

Tracked Combat Vehicles

General Dynamics Land Systems | BAE Systems | American Rheinmetall Vehicles | Textron Systems | McQ | General Dynamics Land Systems

Wheeled Combat Vehicles

General Dynamics Land Systems | General Dynamics Land Systems | AM General | BAE Systems | Navistar Defense | Oshkosh / FLYER Defense | Polaris Defense

Logistics, Engineering, and Support Vehicles

Oshkosh Defense | AM General | General Dynamics | DRS Technologies | Elbit Systems of America

Unmanned Ground Vehicle Hardware

QinetiQ North America | Pratt Miller Defense | HDT Global | Teledyne FLIR Defense | Howe & Howe | American Rheinmetall Vehicles | Swarmbotics AI | Chaos Industries | ACS | Aurelius

Ground Vehicle Autonomy Software and AI

Overland AI | Forterra | Anduril Industries | Palantir Technologies | Kodiak Robotics | Applied Intuition | Scale AI | Neya Systems | Scout AI | Shield AI | Gecko Robotics

Counter UAS and Directed Energy

Epirus | Raytheon/RTX | Northrop Grumman | Boeing/Kratos | L3Harris | SRC Inc.

Weapons, Fire Control, and Turret Systems

Northrop Grumman | BAE Systems | Elbit Systems of America | Leonardo DRS | Kongsberg

Vehicle Electronics, Survivability, and Subsystems

Leonardo DRS | Curtiss-Wright Defense | Cubic Defense | Wavelength Electronics / SY Coleman | FLIR Systems | Elbit Systems of America | Rafael Advanced Defense Systems | Artis LLC / Raytheon

Emerging Companies to Watch

FieldAI Federal | Allen Control Systems | Sarcos Robotics | Boston Dynamics | Ghost Robotics | Joby / Archer / Wisk | Absci | Istari

Munitions

Missiles and Precision Strike

RTX / Raytheon | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | Boeing | BAE Systems | L3Harris / Aerojet Rocketdyne | Anduril Industries | Castelion | Mach Industries | Firehawk Aerospace | Perseus Defense

Loitering Munitions and Kamikaze Drones

Anduril Industries | AeroVironment | Textron Systems | L3Harris | Kratos Defense | Mach Industries | DarkHive | Brinc Drones | Joby / Archer

Rockets, Mortars and Artillery

Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems | BAE Systems | General Dynamics Ordnance & Tactical Systems | Elbit Systems of America | Leonardo DRS | X-Bow Systems | Ursa Major | Firehawk Aerospace

Bombs, Warheads and Air-Delivered Munitions

RTX / Raytheon | Boeing | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | General Dynamics Ordnance & Tactical Systems | BAE Systems | L3Harris / Aerojet Rocketdyne

Solid Rocket Motors and Propellants

Northrop Grumman Innovation Systems | Aerojet Rocketdyne (L3Harris) | X-Bow Systems | Ursa Major | Firehawk Aerospace | Galodyne | Impulse Space

Torpedoes and Undersea Munitions

RTX / Raytheon | Northrop Grumman | Leonardo DRS | L3Harris | BAE Systems | Kongsberg | Oceaneering

Small Caliber Ammunition and Ground Weapons

General Dynamics Ordnance & Tactical Systems | BAE Systems | Olin / Winchester | Nammo | OSA Defense | True Velocity | PCP Ammunition

Directed Energy and Non-Kinetic Weapons

RTX / Raytheon | Northrop Grumman | Lockheed Martin | Boeing | L3Harris | Epirus | SRC Inc. | Kratos Defense

Missile Defense and Interceptors

RTX / Raytheon | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | Boeing | L3Harris | BAE Systems | Leidos

Munitions Supply Chain, Energetics and Raw Materials

Olin Corporation | American Pacific Corporation | Chemring Group | Nammo | Explosia | Maxeon | True Velocity

Munitions Autonomy, Guidance and Seekers

RTX / Raytheon | Northrop Grumman | L3Harris | Anduril Industries | Shield AI | Elbit Systems of America | Leonardo DRS | Applied Intuition

Advanced and Additive Manufacturing
Energy and Materials

Critical Minerals and Raw Materials

KoBold Metals | Vulcan Elements | Mariana Minerals | MP Materials | Energy Fuels | USA Rare Earth | Durin

Advanced Materials and Manufacturing Inputs

General Matter | Inertia | Sila | Unlimited Industries | Hexcel | Toray Composite Materials | Cytec Solvay

Nuclear Energy and Power

BWX Technologies | Kairos Power | Oklo | X-Energy | TerraPower | Last Energy | NuScale Power

Tactical and Expeditionary Power

Leonardo DRS | General Dynamics | Curtiss-Wright Defense | Exowatt | Aetherflux | BASE | Palantir

Energy Storage and Batteries

Sila | EaglePicher Technologies | Epsilor | Ultralife Corporation | EnerSys | Leonardo DRS

Fuel, Synthetic Fuels and Alternative Propellants

Boom Supersonic | Infinium | Prometheus Fuels | HIF Global | RCF Fuels | GE Aerospace | Pratt and Whitney

Space-Based and Beamed Energy

Aetherflux | Exowatt | Northrop Grumman | Lockheed Martin | Quaise Energy

Grid, Infrastructure and Energy Resilience

Leidos | SAIC | Parsons Corporation | Jacobs | BASE | BWX Technologies | Epirus

AI/ML

AI Platforms, Decision Support and Command and Control

Palantir | Anduril Industries | Lockheed Martin | Northrop Grumman | L3Harris | Leidos | SAIC | Vannevar Labs | Onebrief | Sandtable | Defcon AI | Nominal

Frontier AI and Large Language Models

OpenAI | Google | xAI | Anthropic| Microsoft | Meta AI

Autonomous Systems and Robotics AI

Shield AI | Applied Intuition | Overland AI | Forterra | Kodiak Robotics | Reliable Robotics | Scout AI | Dominion Dynamics | Fivecast | Air Space Intelligence

Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance AI

Palantir | Leidos | Vannevar Labs | BigBear.ai | Modern Intelligence | NODA | Schemata | Primordial Labs | Legion | Axion Ray

Geospatial AI and Earth Observation Analytics

DroneDeploy | Maxar Technologies | Planet Labs | BigBear.ai | GA Vibit | Fivecast | ICEYE | Spire Global

Mission Planning and Tactical Applications

TurbineOne | Beacon AI | Gallatin | Kestrel Intelligence | Breaker | Rune | Dungeon AI | Pytho | Lumbra | Rohirrim

AI-Enabled Cybersecurity and Threat Detection

Darktrace | CrowdStrike | Leidos | Code Metal | Foxglove | Edgerunner AI | Pryzm | IronFlow AI

AI Infrastructure, Data and MLOps

Scale AI | Microsoft | Amazon Web Services | Google Cloud | Oracle | Helios | Flock Safety

Simulation, Synthetic Data and AI Training Environments

Scale AI | Istari | Northrop Grumman | Lockheed Martin | Sandtable | Primordial Labs | Applied Intuition | Bohemia Interactive Simulations

Business and Enterprise AI Applications

Palantir | Code Metal | Onebrief | Axion Ray | Pryzm | IronFlow AI | Edgerunner AI | Rohirrim | Helios

Cyber

Cybersecurity Platforms and Enterprise Defense

Leidos | SAIC | Booz Allen Hamilton | ManTech | L3Harris | Northrop Grumman | Raytheon | Second Front Systems | Shift5 | CrowdStrike | Palo Alto Networks

Offensive Cyber and Cyber Operations

Northrop Grumman | Leidos | Booz Allen Hamilton | SAIC | Enabled Intelligence | TRM Labs | Defense Unicorns | Bastille

Operational Technology and Industrial Control System Security

Dragos | Claroty | Nozomi Networks | SAIC | Leidos | Picogrid | Shift5 | Parsons Corporation

Zero Trust, Identity and Access Management

Virtru | Arkenstone | Okta | Zscaler | BeyondTrust | Booz Allen Hamilton | Moonify

Secure Communications and Data Encryption

Virtru | L3Harris | Northrop Grumman | General Dynamics Mission Systems | Viasat | TRM Labs | Bastille | Arkenstone

Software Defined Infrastructure and Cloud Security

Second Front Systems | Defense Unicorns | Picogrid | OpenInfer | WebAI | Microsoft | Amazon Web Services | Oracle

RF, Wireless and Electromagnetic Spectrum Security

Bastille | L3Harris | Northrop Grumman | RTX | Viasat | Epirus | SRC Inc.

Computer Vision, Sensor Fusion and Data Analytics

Voxel51 | OpenInfer | Palantir | Leidos | Scale AI | WebAI | Moonify | Elbit Systems of America

Critical Infrastructure Protection

Dragos | Claroty | Parsons Corporation | Leidos | SAIC | Booz Allen Hamilton | Jacobs | Flock Safety

Communications

Tactical Communications and Radios

L3Harris | Northrop Grumman | BAE Systems | General Dynamics Mission Systems | Viasat | Collins Aerospace | Rebellion | Dominion Dynamics

Satellite Communications and Space-Based Connectivity

SpaceX (Starlink) | Viasat | L3Harris | Hughes | Armada | Astranis | Northwood Space | Collins Aerospace

Edge Computing and Deployed Processing

Armada | Defense Unicorns | Second Front Systems | Rebellion | Leidos | SAIC | Picogrid | Palantir

Spectrum, Electronic Warfare and Signals Intelligence

Northrop Grumman | L3Harris | RTX | BAE Systems | Bastille | Mesa Quantum | SRC Inc. | Epirus | Bandelier

ISR, Sensing and Persistent Surveillance

Hidden Level | HawkEye 360 | World View | Emesent | Aalyria | Leidos | Northrop Grumman | L3Harris

Autonomous and Aerial ISR Platforms

World View | Emesent | Hidden Level | General Atomics ASI | Northrop Grumman | Shield AI | Skydio | Dominion Dynamics

Quantum Communications and Positioning, Navigation and Timing

Mesa Quantum | Northrop Grumman | Lockheed Martin | L3Harris | RTX | IonQ | Quantinuum | SBQuantum

Network Management, Resilience and JADC2

Lockheed Martin |Northrop Grumman | Leidos | SAIC | Aalyria | Anduril Industries | Palantir | Viasat | Aalyria

The Five Major Prime Contractors of the Defense Industry

Defense Industry

2024 Defense Revenue

After the top 5, there's a significant drop off to the second tier of companies rounding out the top 10.

Top 10 Defense Revenue

The U.S. has 48 of the Top 100 defense companies in the world based on 2024 defense revenue. This chart plots the 2024 defense revenue for all 48 companies showing the outsized impact the primes have in market capture.

Top US Defense Companies 2024 Revenue

Big 5 vs Next 43 Defense Companies

Defense Prime Consolidation

The defense industry saw a massive consolidation in the 1980s and 1990s with five major prime contractors dominating the market share of defense contracts. This consolidation was accelerated following a Last Supper dinner in 1993 hosted by SECDEF Les Aspen and DEPSECDEF William Perry with defense executives.

 

Source: NASA Commission on the Future of U.S. Aerospace Industry Report

Keep in mind, it is often discussed and reported that DoD consolidated from 51 primes to five. The above chart shows the lineage of 51 companies to the five biggest primes, but that's not to suggest there are only five primes. As you'll see in the next section below, L3Harris, HII, and Leidos, along with dozens of other companies are doing billions of dollars of defense work as primes. There are also emerging non-traditional defense companies capturing prime roles on contracts.

As Dr. Jerry McGinn noted in a recent article, "Since 2000, the overall shape of the industrial base has stayed remarkably consistent with five major primes, around 100 tier 1 and tier 2 mid- to large-sized firms that serve as primes or subcontractors on various programs, and thousands of small businesses."

Shyam Sankar, Madeline Zimmerman, and Greg Little have a First Breakfast Substack championing a renewal of the industrial base to reverse the effects of the Last Supper.

Largest U.S. Defense Contractors

The United States has 47 of the world's top 100 defense companies. This table is ranked by defense revenue in 2024.

  • As you can see the five major primes are in the first tier, with a clear drop off between Boeing at $31.7B and L3 Harris at $16.9B.
  • There is a wide mix of "pure defense companies" that get most of their revenue from defense like Lockheed Martin (96%), HII (!00%), and SNC (97%) and companies that have a majority of revenue from outside defense like Boeing (48%), GE Aerospace (16%), and Honeywell (18%).
  • The list includes two companies that manage FFRDCs, MITRE (31) and Aerospace (36).
  • For the first time, this list includes venture backed, non-traditional defense companies, SpaceX (18), Palantir (30), and Anduril (43).

Source: Defense News Top 100 for 2025

Largest U.S. Defense Contractors by Market Cap
Defense Tech Company Financials

Defense Technology Companies have had strong stock growth and EBITDA valuation multiples relative to other sectors.

  • Defense Technology Companies include: AeroVironment, Curtiss-Wright, Kratos Defense, Leonardo DRS, Mercury Systems, Palantir Technologies, Teledyne Technologies, and Textron.
  • Multiple Platform Contractors include: Boeing, General Dynamics, General Electric, Honeywell, Huntington Ingalls Industries, L3 Harris, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, and RTX.
  • Government Services include: Amentum Holdings, Booz Allen Hamilton, CACI International, ICF International, Leidos Holdings, Parsons, SAIC, and V2X
  • Space and Satellite include: BlackSky Tech, Intuitive Machines, Iridium Communications, Karman Holdings, Planet Labs, Redwire, Rocket Lab, Spire Global, Viasat, Voyager Tech

 

Defense Tech Stock and EBITDA

Source: Raymond James Defense & Government Market Intel Report, Sep 2025

Defense Primes Stocks

Defense Primes Buy Back

Primes Dividends 2024

Prime Stock Buybacks 2024

Primes R&D and CapEx 2024

Source: Breaking Defense leveraging McAleese and Associates data.

Buybacks and Dividends
Matthew Bernard - RTX Buybacks and Dividens

On January 7, 2026, the White House issued a sweeping Executive Order (EO) titled Prioritizing the Warfighter in Defense Contracting, which marks a profound shift from a shareholder-first financial model to a production-first model.

While the government has been a terrible customer these last few years by not providing steady demand signals to build confidence in these investments, the data shows this is only part of the problem.

Raytheon

  • RTX (Raytheon) is currently sitting on a $251B backlog, yet it takes upwards of 24 months to secure parts for a single Patriot radar unit.
  • The “Big Five” are failing across every major strategic domain.
    • Lockheed Martin: The F-35 TR-3/Block 4 upgrade is five years behind schedule and $6B over budget.
    • General Dynamics: Submarine production is stuck at 1.2 boats annually against a requirement for 2.0.
    • Northrop Grumman: The Sentinel ICBM program is 81% over budget ($141B total) and years behind schedule.
  • The government's new stance is simpler: if you have the balance sheet capacity to fund a $10B accelerated buyback during a technical crisis (as RTX did in 2023) you have the capacity to fix your own production lines without a taxpayer bailout.
  • RTX has returned over $44B to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, more than 3X its investment in manufacturing (CapEx) over the same period.

    Lockheed Martin

  • Lockheed Martin represents the pinnacle of this “financialized” defense model.
  • The company has not only paid dividends for over 40 years but has increased that dividend for 23 consecutive years.
  • This streak became a sacred cow for institutional investors, but it created an impossible internal hurdle for management - as it becomes it becomes near-impossible to reallocate capital toward long-term, risky industrial projects without decimating the stock price.

  • The forced pivot to CapEx is a massive tailwind for the sub-tier supply chain. When RTX is forced to spend $5B on “industrial capacity” instead of buybacks, that money flows to advanced manufacturing, robotics, and energetic suppliers.
    • Advanced Manufacturing: Firms providing automated composite layup and 3D-printing for aerospace will see a surge in orders.
    • Defense-Tech Startups: Smaller, more nimble firms can now partner with primes who are suddenly desperate to show “production innovation” to the Pentagon to get their dividend licenses back.
    • Domestic Sourcing: The “Golden Dome” missile shield and other 2026 supplemental bills favor companies that have already invested in American jobs rather than offshore arbitrage.

Before, any defense tech start-up aimed at solving a pain point or bottleneck for a prime would have a hard time getting a meeting with their corporate venture teams, but after this announcement, expect to see a flurry of activity out of these entities.

Our Take

While there are some egregious examples that show the primes not taking their responsibilities seriously enough, it's too simplistic to place the blame only at the feet of the primes. DoD built this system that rewards low-risk behaviors (cost-plus contracts and reimbursable IR&D) coupled with very low profit margins. This system forced defense contractors who get most of their funding from the government to adapt and reward shareholders in the best way possible. Corporate compensation boards structured executive incentives around efficient execution, cash flow, and work backlog which rent-seeking investment funds rewarded. There was no reward for huge outlays of cash towards expanded manufacturing that the government may not place orders against or change its mind in one year (which happened often). So, while this shift is desperately needed and defense primes need to adjust their risk calculus, DoW will have to reward big investments (not just with the primes but new entrants too) with some degree of stability. The multi-year contracts approved in the FY26 NDAA go a long way. Dependence on reconciliation dollars does not however and maxed out SM-6 orders in FY26 can't lead to min sustainment rate orders in FY27! FYI - the $1.5T FY27 superbudget is contingent on another reconciliation package.

Source: Industrial Base Alpha

Executive Order: Prioritizing the Warfighter in Defense Contracting

In January 2026, President Trump signed an executive order:

  • While the U.S. produces the best military equipment in the world, we do not make enough of it quickly enough to meet the needs of our military and our partners.
  • It is imperative that our defense contractors be held to the highest standards intended to ensure the advancement of core national interests.
  • Many large contractors - while underperforming on existing contracts - pursue newer, more lucrative contracts, stock buy-backs, and excessive dividends to shareholders at the cost of production capacity, innovation, and on-time delivery.
  • Effective immediately, they are not permitted to pay dividends or buy back stock, until such time as they are able to produce a superior product, on time and budget.
  • It is the policy of the U.S. Government to accelerate defense procurement and revitalize the defense industrial base to maintain peace through strength.

Buy Backs and Dividends

  • Major defense contractors will no longer conduct stock buy-backs or issue dividends at the expense of accelerated procurement and increased production capacity.
  • SECWAR shall identify any defense contractors that engaged in any stock buy-back or corporate distribution while:
    • underperforming on their contracts
    • not investing their own capital into necessary production capacity
    • not sufficiently prioritizing U.S. Government contracts
    • having insufficient production speed
  • When the contractor's remediation plan is insufficient, the SECDEF may initiate immediate actions to secure remedies that will expedite production, prioritize the U.S. military, and return the contractor to sufficient performance, investment, prioritization, and production, to the maximum extent permitted by law.
  • Within 60 days, DoW shall ensure that any future contract with any new or existing defense contractor, including any renewal, contains a provision prohibiting both any stock buy-back and corporate distributions.

Future Contracts

  • Future contracts shall stipulate that executive incentive compensation for contractors will not be tied to short-term financial metrics, such as free cash flow or earnings per share driven by stock buy-backs and instead will be linked to on-time delivery, increased production, and facilitation required to rapidly expand our U.S. stockpiles and capabilities.
  • SECWAR in consultation with State and Commerce shall consider whether it is appropriate to deny advocacy for underperforming contractors to compete in FMS or DCS.

Non-Traditional Defense Contractor

A nontraditional defense contractor, with respect to a procurement or with respect to a transaction authorized under section 4021(a) or 4022 of this title, means an entity that is not currently performing and has not performed, for at least the one-year period preceding the solicitation of sources by the Department of Defense for the procurement or transaction, any contract or subcontract for the Department of Defense that is subject to full coverage under the cost accounting standards prescribed pursuant to section 1502 of title 41 and the regulations implementing such section.

10 USC 3014

Exemptions for Nontraditional Defense Contractors

Per FY26 NDAA Sec. 1826. Exemptions for Nontraditional Defense Contractors

For contracts, subcontracts, and agreements provided by nontraditional defense contractors (per 10 USC 3014), shall be exempt from the following:

The requirements may bewaived or modified with a written determination approved by the head of the relevant contracting activity. May only be delegated to a senior contracting official or a more senior official. The justification must explain why application of such requirements is in the best interest of the federal government.

10 USC 3457

Treatment of certain products and services as commercial products and commercial services

(a) Goods and Services Provided by Nontraditional Defense Contractors.-Notwithstanding section 3451(1) of this title, products and services provided by nontraditional defense contractors (as that term is defined in section 3014 of this title) may be treated by the head of an agency as commercial products and commercial services, respectively, for purposes of this chapter.

(b) Services Provided by Certain Nontraditional Contractors.-Notwithstanding section 3451(1) of this title, services provided by a business unit that is a nontraditional defense contractor (as that term is defined in section 3014 of this title) shall be treated as commercial services for purposes of this chapter, to the extent that such services use the same pool of employees as used for commercial customers and are priced using methodology similar to methodology used for commercial pricing.(c) Commingled Items Purchased by Contractors.-Notwithstanding section 3451(1) of this title, items valued at less than $10,000 that are purchased by a contractor for use in the performance of multiple contracts with the Department of Defense and other parties and are not identifiable to any particular contract shall be treated as a commercial product for purposes of this chapter.

Source: 10 USC 3457

Note: During the FY26 NDAA there was a draft provision and debate to change this language from NDCs "may be treated" as commercial to "shall be treated". That did not make the final bill, so treating NDC products and services as commercial remains subject to the contracting officer and acquiring organization's discretion.

Class Deviation 2026-O0028 - DFARS Part 212

Class Deviation 2026-O0028 - Revolutionary Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR) Overhaul Part 12, Defense FAR Supplement (DFARS) Part 212 (18 December 2025)

Acquisition of Commercial Products and Commercial Services (Effective February 1, 2026)

This is the primary deviation. It implements two statutory authorities side-by-side under DFARS 212.102(a):

Authority 1 - 10 U.S.C. 3457 (Discretionary): Contracting officers maytreat supplies and services provided by nontraditional defense contractors as commercial products or commercial services. This permissive authority is intended to enhance defense innovation and investment, enable DoD to acquire items that otherwise might not have been available, and create incentives for nontraditional defense contractors to do business with DoD. The decision does not require a commercial product or commercial service determination and does not mean the item is actually commercial.

Authority 2 - 10 U.S.C. 3457 (Mandatory): Contracting officers shalltreat services provided by a business unit that is a nontraditional defense contractor as commercial services, to the extent that such services use the same pool of employees as used for commercial customers and are priced using methodology similar to methodology used for commercial customers.

Documentation Requirement: Contracting officers shall document the file when treating supplies or services from a nontraditional defense contractor as commercial products or commercial services.

The War Unicorns

Venture Backed Defense Tech Startups Worth over $1B

See Our Substack Piece from Nov 2025

The War Unicorns
  • Palantir Technologies (post-IPO): Gotham and Foundry platforms for intel fusion and targeting.
  • Anduril Industries: Lattice AI for border and base defense, unmanned aerial systems, and counter-UAS.
  • Saronic Technologies: Autonomous surface vessels for naval ops.
  • Shield AI: Hivemind AI for drone swarms in GPS-denied zones.
  • Skydio: Enterprise drones with 360° obstacle avoidance.
  • Applied Intuition: Autonomous vehicle simulation and testing for defense applications.
  • Scale: Data labeling and AI infrastructure for training defense ML models.
  • Govini: AI analytics for supply chain and acquisition optimization.
  • Vannevar Labs: Open-source intel tools for threat hunting.
  • Forterra: Autonomy platform for vehicles, robotic swarms, and mission systems
Top 100 Defense Tech Companies by Funds Raised
Company Category Funds Raised Founded
1 SpaceX Space SpaceX 2002
2 Databricks Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2013
3 Archer Aviation Aerospace Archer Aviation
4 Relativity Space Space Space 2015
5 Anduril Autonomy Autonomy 2017
6 Sierra Space Space Space 2021
7 Automation Anywhere Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2003
8 SambaNova Systems Defense SaaS & AI SambaNova Systems 2017
9 Shield AI Autonomy Shield AI 2015
10 Rubrik Defense SaaS & AI Rubrik 2014
11 DataRobot Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2012
12 Zipline Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) Zipline 2016
13 Dataiku Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2013
14 Carebras Systems Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2015
15 Skydio UAS UAS 2014
16 Astranis Space Space 2015
17 Flock Safety Public Safety Public Safety 2017
18 ThoughtSpot Defense SaaS & AI ThoughtSpot 2012
19 PsiQuantum Miscellaneous PsiQuantum 2016
20 Axiom Space Space Space 2016
21 Scale AI Defense SaaS & AI Scale AI 2016
22 Grafana Labs Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 2014
23 Kymeta Space Space 2012
24 ABL Space Systems Space Space 2017
25 Blue Origin Space Space 2000
26 SandboxAQ Miscellaneous SandboxAQ 2022
27 Firefly Aerospace Space Space 2017
28 CloudBees Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2010
29 ICON Manufacturing Manufacturing 2017
30 Hawkeye 360 Space Space 2015
31 Momentus Space Space 2017
32 Whoop Miscellaneous Whoop 2011
33 Dragos Defense SaaS & AI Dragos 2016
34 Applied Intuition Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2017
35 Spark Cognition Defense SaaS & AI Spark Cognition 2013
36 Velo3D Manufacturing Velo3D 2014
37 Versa Networks Defense SaaS & AI Versa Networks 2009
38 Blacksky Space Space 2013
39 Epirus Counter-UAS Epirus 2018
40 Boom Supersonic Aerospace Boom Supersonic 2014
41 Ursa Major Hypersonics Ursa Major 2015
42 Capella Space Space Space 2016
43 Spaceflight Industries Space Spaceflight Industries 2009
44 Vast Data Defense SaaS & AI Vast Data 2016
45 Interos Defense SaaS & AI Interos 2005
46 Astra Space Space
47 Mirantis Defense SaaS & AI Mirantis 1999
48 Formlabs Manufacturing Manufacturing 2011
49 Formlogic Manufacturing Manufacturing 2011
50 Primer Defense SaaS & AI Primer 2014
51 Forterra (RRAI) Autonomy Forterra (RRAI) 2002
52 Rebellion Defense Defense SaaS & AI Rebellion Defense 2019
53 Gecko Robotics Autonomy Gecko Robotics 2013
54 Hadrian Manufacturing Manufacturing
55 6K Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 2014
56 Lyten Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 2015
57 Federated Wireless Communication Federated Wireless 2012
58 Uveye Manufacturing Uveye 2016
59 Swift Navigation Miscellaneous Swift Navigation 2012
60 BigID Defense SaaS & AI Defense SaaS & AI 2016
61 Fictiv Manufacturing Manufacturing 2013
62 Ayar Labs Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 2015
63 SiMa.ai Defense SaaS & AI SiMa.ai 2018
64 Saildrone Maritime Saildrone 2012
65 Infleqtion Defense SaaS & AI Infleqtion 2007
66 Spinlaunch Space Spinlaunch
67 Voyager Space Aerospace Voyager Space 2019
68 Varda Space Space Varda Space 2020
69 Nozomi Networks Defense SaaS & AI Nozomi Networks 2013
70 Umbra Space Umbra
71 Rescale Defense SaaS & AI Rescale 2011
72 Loft Orbital Space Space 2017
73 Kodiak Robotics Autonomy $165,000,000
74 Airspace Technologies Aerospace Airspace Technologies 2016
75 Snorkel Defense SaaS & AI Snorkel 2015
76 Dedrone Counter-UAS Dedrone 2014
77 True Anomaly Space True Anomaly
78 Leolabs Space Space 2016
79 Albedo Space Space Space 2020
80 Hermeus Hypersonics Hypersonics 2018
81 Red6 Red6 2018
82 Elroy Air Aerospace Elroy Air
83 Shift5 Defense SaaS & AI Shift5 2019
84 Percipient AI Defense SaaS & AI Percipient AI
85 Vennevar Labs Defense SaaS & AI Vennevar Labs 2019
86 Slingshot Aerospace Defense SaaS & AI Slingshot Aerospace 2017
87 Cesium Astro Communication Communication 2017
88 Brinc Public Safety Public Safety 2017
89 Mach Industries Munitions Munitions
90 GoTenna Communication GoTenna
91 Second Front Systems Defense SaaS & AI Second Front Systems 2014
92 Impulse Space Space Space 2021
93 Stoke Space Technologies Space Stoke Space Technologies 2019
94 Privateer Space Space
95 Saronic Maritime Saronic
96 Chaos Industries Miscellaneous Miscellaneous
97 Lambda Labs Defense SaaS & AI Lambda Labs 2012
98 Eclypsium Defense SaaS & AI Eclypsium 2017
99 Stellar Cyber Defense SaaS & AI Stellar Cyber 2015
100 Liquid Instruments Miscellaneous Miscellaneous 2014

Source: Merging SVDG NATSEC 100 with AEON Analysis

NatSec 100

The Silicon Valley Defense Group publishes an annual ranking of the top 100 venture funded defense and dual use startups. It offers a data-driven snapshot of the evolving techno-security ecosystem.

The 2025 NatSec100 Companies

  • Raised: $70.1B in private capital (Up 32% from 2024)
  • Federal Awards: $28.6B as a prime, sub, OTA, or SBIR/STTR (up 18% from 2024)
    • $25.8B Prime
    • $1.8B OTA
    • $798M Subcontractor
    • $199M SBIR
  • Average Age: 8.3 years

NatSec 100 2025

 

NatSec100 by State

Investment and Awards of Non-Traditional Defense Contractors

Most small businesses and startups are considered non-traditional companies. They may not have any defense contracts over $50M or if they do, they were firm-fixed price, or followed commercial procedures.

Startups

DoD is constantly seeking to leverage more startups and non-traditional defense contractors to regrow the shrinking industrial base. Former SECDEF Dr. Ash Carter established DIUx to tap Silicon Valley companies. Now called DIU, they have expanded to Boston, Austin, and Chicago. DIU has championed using a Commercial Solutions Opening to rapidly tap mature commercial technologies. DoD invests billions in Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) - small research contracts to help companies mature technologies and shape applications to DoD needs. DoD is also leveraging more Other Transactions Authorities to rapidly establish agreements on research, prototypes, and even production contracts. While each of these efforts have mixed results, the objectives are to help small businesses grow, provide funding during early stages, focus developments on priority military needs/opportunities, and foster greater competition at each tier of the defense industry.

Venture Deals

Venture Capital deals continue strong growth. 2021 was the best year with nearly 18,000 deals for $344B. Source: Pitchbook.

VC Deals 2022

Within defense tech, there continues to be a strong demand signal.

Source: Sizing up the boom in defense tech

Industry Analysis

State of Competition within the Defense Industrial Base

Source: State of Competition within the Defense Industrial Base, OUSD(A&S), Feb 2022

Since the 1990s, the defense sector has consolidated substantially, transitioning from 51 to 5 aerospace and defense prime contractors. As a result, DoD is increasingly reliant on a small number of contractors for critical defense capabilities. Consolidations that reduce required capability and capacity and the depth of competition would have serious consequences for national security. Over approximately the last three decades, the number of suppliers in major weapons system categories has declined substantially: tactical missile suppliers have declined from 13 to 3, fixed-wing aircraft suppliers declined from 8 to 3, and satellite suppliers have halved from 8 to 4. Today, 90% of missiles come from 3 sources. As a result, promoting competition and ensuring it is fair and open for future programs is a critical Department priority.

10 Year Trend for DoD Competitive Awards

 

Weapons Category U.S. Based Prime Contractors
Tactical Missiles Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies
Fixed Wing Aircraft Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman
Expendable Launch Vehicles Boeing, Lockheed Martin
Satellites Boeing, Hughes, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman
Surface Ships General Dynamics, Huntington Ingalls
Tactical Wheeled Vehicles AM General, General Motors, Oshkosh
Tracked Combat Vehicles General Dynamics
Strategic Missiles Boeing, Lockheed Martin
Torpedoes Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies
Rotary Wing Aicraft Bell Textron, Boeing, Lockheed Martin (Sikorsky)
Updated DIB Competition Table

Manned Systems

Capability Area 1990 2024
Aircraft
Fixed Wing 8 4
Rotary Wing 4 3
Ships
Surface 8 4
Submarines 2 2
Ground Vehicles
Wheeled 6 6
Tracked 3 4
Space Systems
Large Satellites 8 4
Launch 2 3
Missiles and Munitions
Strategic 3 3
Tactical 13 3
Torpedo 3 2

Unmanned Systems

Capability Area 1990 2024
Aircraft
Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) 1 > 44
Ships
Unmanned Surface - 8
Unmanned Underwater - 11
Ground Vehicles
Unmanned Ground - 6
Space Systems
Small Satellites - 11
Assessing and Strengthening the Manufacturing and Defense Industrial Base and Supply Chain Resiliency of the U.S

Major Findings

  • Macro forces have led to impacts primarily in the sub-tiers of the defense supply chain
  • A surprising level of foreign dependence on competitor nations exists;
  • Workforce challenges face employers across all sectors; and
  • Many sectors continue to move critical capabilities offshore in pursuit of competitive pricing and access to foreign markets.

Recommendations

The DoD-led Interagency Task Force recognizes ongoing efforts to address the challenges identified in the EO 13806 assessment, including:

  • Increased near-term DoD budget stability with the passage of the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018, providing stable funding through Fiscal Year (FY) 2019
  • Modernization of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. and investigations under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 into Chinese intellectual property theft, to better combat Chinese industrial policies targeting American intellectual property
  • Updates to the Conventional Arms Transfer policy and unmanned aerial systems export policy to increase U.S. industrial base competitiveness and strengthen international alliances
  • Reorganization of the former Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, the work of the “Section 809 panel,” and development of the adaptive acquisition framework all aim to streamline and improve defense acquisition
    processes
  • Restructuring the Defense Acquisition University to create a workforce education and training resource to foster increased agility in acquisition personnel
  • Response to Section 1071(a) of the National Defense Authorization Act for FY2018 which requires establishing a process for enhancing the ability to analyze, assess, and monitor vulnerabilities of the industrial base
  • Creation of a National Advanced Manufacturing Strategy by the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, focused on opportunities in advanced manufacturing
  • Department of Labor's chairing of a Task Force on Apprenticeship Expansion to identify strategies and proposals to promote apprenticeships, particularly in industries where they are insufficient
  • DoD's program for Microelectronics Innovation for National Security and Economic Competitiveness to increase domestic capabilities and enhance technology adoption
  • DoD cross-functional team for maintaining technology advantage Implementation of a risk-based methodology for oversight of contractors in the National Industrial Security Program, founded on risk management framework principles to assess and counter threats to critical technologies and priority assets.

Traditional and Cross Cutting Defense Sectors

Source: Assessing and Strengthening the Manufacturing and Defense Industrial Base and Supply Chain Resiliency of the United States, Sep 2018

Ten Risk Archetypes Threatening America's Manufacturing and Defense Industrial Base
Sole source Only one supplier is able to provide the required capability
Single source Only one supplier is qualified to provide the required capability
Fragile supplier A specific supplier is financially challenged / distressed
Fragile market Structurally poor industry economics; potentially approaching domestic extinction
Capacity constrained supply market Capacity is unavailable in required quantities or time due to competing market demands
Foreign dependency Domestic industry does not produce the product, or does not produce it in sufficient quantities
Diminishing manufacturing sources & material shortages (DMSMS) Product or material obsolescence resulting from decline in relevant suppliers
Gap in U.S.-based human capital Industry is unable to hire or retain U.S. workers with the necessary skill sets
Erosion of U.S.-based infrastructure Loss of specialized capital equipment needed to integrate, manufacture, or maintain capability
Product security Lack of cyber and physical protection results in eroding integrity, confidence, and competitive advantage

Source: Assessing and Strengthening the Manufacturing and Defense Industrial Base and Supply Chain Resiliency of the U.S., EO 13806 Report, Sep 2018

Industrial Base Fund
The Secretary of Defense shall establish an Industrial Base Fund (in this section referred to as the “Fund”).
The Fund shall be under the control of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment, acting through the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Manufacturing and Industrial Base Policy.
The Fund shall consist of amounts appropriated or otherwise made available to the Fund.
The Fund shall be used-
  1. to support the monitoring and assessment of the industrial base required by this chapter;
  2. to address critical issues in the industrial base relating to urgent operational needs;
  3. to support efforts to expand the industrial base; and
  4. to address supply chain vulnerabilities.

Authority

The authority of the Secretary of Defense to use the Fund under this section in any fiscal year is subject to the availability of appropriations for that purpose.

The Secretary shall establish procedures for expending monies in the Fund in support of the uses identified in subsection (d), including the following:
  1. Direct obligations from the Fund.
  2. Transfers of monies from the Fund to relevant appropriations of the Department of Defense.

Source: 10 USC 4817

Recent NDAA Language on the Defense Industrial Base

FY26 NDAA

Sec. 864. United States-Israel Defense Industrial Base Working Group

USD(A&S) in consultation with the Secretary of State, shall convene a working group to study the potential for greater integration of the defense industrial bases of the U.S. and Israel and the feasibility and advisability of including Israel in the National Technology and Industrial Base per 10 USC 4801.

Our Take: The Israeli industrial base has many promising companies that could contribute military solutions to the DoW directly or in partnership with U.S. companies. Including Israel in the NTIB would be a valuable step to reduce the barriers for collaboration and sales.

Sec. 1021. Pilot Program on Use of Automated Shipbuilding Technologies and Capabilities.

Not later than 90 days after the date of the enactment of this Act, the Secretary of the Navy shall establish a pilot program on the use of automated assembly technologies and capabilities in naval shipbuilding to reduce overall construction times and alleviate workforce constraints.

Our Take: Some of this is already underway but need to keep the focus on using the latest tech to bring our shipyards into the 21st century.

Sec. 1844. Collaborative Forum to Address Challenges to and Limitations of the Defense Industrial Base.

Requires SECDEF to identify one or more consortia or other entity to serve as a collaborative forum for government, private sector, academia, and nonprofit entities with expertise in advanced manufacturing to address the challenges to and limitations of the defense industrial base. Establish working groups focused on eliminating barriers, assessing supply chain fragility, and expanding domestic manufacturing and industrial capacity.

Our Take: Collaboration is always positive, this forum would have potential if used and led correctly. Need strong follow-through on actions identified.

Sec. 1845. Facility Clearance Acceleration for Members of Defense Industrial Consortiums.

Requires SECDEF to ensure each entity that is a member of the groups in Sec. 1844 is sponsored for a facility clearance, is provided access to sensitive compartmented information facilities and classified networks and invited to in-person meetings with relevant DoD personnel to discuss classified work.

Our Take: Industry writ large needs access to sensitive data to be effective. The security risk is much lower than the current risk of billions being invested in the wrong tech that doesn't move the needle.

Sec. 1846. Improvements Relating to Advanced Manufacturing.

USD(A&S) and USD(R&E) shall co-chair the Joint Defense Manufacturing Technology Panel, the Joint Additive Manufacturing Working Group, and the Consortium on Additive Manufacturing for Defense Capability Development. The USDs shall review the policies and procedures for qualifying, accepting, and managing supply chain products using advanced manufacturing.

Our Take: A positive step to improve use of advanced manufacturing tools and approaches.

Sec. 1847. Report on Surge Capacity in the Defense Industrial Base.

ASD(Industrial Base Policy) and Director DPCAP shall jointly submit to Congress a report on effects to identify and address regulations or policies that discourage or prevent contractors in the defense industrial base from maintaining or investing in surge capacity. Identify policies to incentivize industry to reduce or eliminate surge capacity, regulatory barriers discouraging or preventing contractors from maintaining or investing in surge capacity.

Our Take: As regular readers of this Substack know well, the U.S. DIB is not at all prepared for a wartime surge and would take years to ramp up if we were in a major war with a peer competitor. This report should be quickly acted upon to address the barriers and incentivize accelerated and novel approaches to scale surge capacity.

FY25 NDAA

Sec. 841. Enhancing Requirements For Information Relating To Supply Chain Risk.

Reduces the level of determination needed to exclude a source from a procurement based on perceived supply chain risk from USD(A&S) and DoD CIO to “procurement or other relevant officials of the covered agency.” It also reduces the information requirement to primarily a summary of the risk assessment.

Our Take: We think this is important discretion for lower level acquisition professionals who have evidence that certain supply chains have been compromised. The highly elevated level that this provision had before limited the ability of acquisition professionals to exercise the authority granted.

Sec. 874. Establish a Pilot Program for Access to Shared Classified Commercial Infrastructure

DoD establish a pilot program on streamlining access for small business and institutions of higher learning to share classified commercial infrastructure. Expand access to SCIFs and SAP facilities to securely perform work under existing classified contracts. Reduce the cost and administrative requirements. Increase opportunities for small businesses to have access to compete for classified contracts, and share infrastructure and prototyping proposed solutions.

Our Take: This is desperately needed for many small businesses that cannot fully understand the operational basis for a requirement or the employment details that are important for a company when developing a proposal. It is unclear if this will result in additional resourcing for “Rent a SCIF” type services or if it will meaningfully change the timelines for DCSA to certify a SCIF (which is currently on the order of years due to the backlog).

Sec. 876. Small Business Bill of Rights

Require SECDEF through the Small Business Integration Working Group, to develop and adopt a Small Business Bill of Rights for the DoD to ensure small business customer service issues and conflicts are resolved expeditiously.

DoD Small Business Strategy

Sec. 849. Supply Chain Illumination Incentives

Requires DoD to develop and implement incentives to encourage DoD contractors to implement and use policies, procedures, and tools to allow assessment and monitoring of supply chains for vulnerabilities, security, and noncompliance risks.

FY22 DoD Budget
FY22 Budget by Category

Defense Industry

Defense Industry Videos

32 videos

Additional Reading on Defense Industry

Defense Industry Research

Industry Trade Associations

National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA)

National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA)

Aerospace Industries Association (AIA)

Aerospace Industries Association (AIA)

Professional Services Council (PSC)

Professional Services Council (PSC)

Silicon Valley Defense Group

Silicon Valley Defense Group

National Security Space Association (NSSA)

National Security Space Association (NSSA)

AUSVI

AUSVI

Surface Navy Association

Surface Navy Association

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